The chart above has Bollinger Bands turned on. Those
are the blue lines above and below the red and green candlestick bars.
These bands are set to (20,2) in our software, which is the default for most
programs that have this feature in their charts.
Based on the chart above we can identify support and
resistance levels for KLAC. First, we need to identify the high and the
low seen in the chart. An interval of 1 hour is usually fine to determine
support and resistance using the software. As seen here, the low
in KLAC is near 48.67 and the high is near 49.05. We disregard
the blip higher to 49.15 because it was a single trade (evidenced by the single
line) and it was probably a misquote.
Next, we identify the Bollinger support and resistance
levels. The lower Bollinger band shows support at 48.65 and the
upper Bollinger band identifies resistance at near 49. The Bollinger
bands tell us to expect accelerated moves if they are broken. We can see
the strong move experienced as the upper band was broken for example. The
bands do not represent exact support or resistance levels however, but they are
usually close.
We now have the following information:
KLAC |
Support |
Resistance |
Chart |
48.67 |
49.05 |
Band |
48.65 |
49. |
Based on this information we should take the
extremities to help us find support and resistance. That means that we
should use 48.65 as support and we should use 49.05
as resistance. If we are using these numbers to identify entry prices or
stop prices it is usually ok to be a little lenient though because these numbers
are not always exact.
Entry levels:
If you were looking to buy KLAC, choosing a price near
support, or near 48.65, would be fine. You do not need to get 48.65
exactly.
On the other hand if you were looking to short KLAC
choosing a price near resistance, or near 49.05 would also be fine because you
really shouldn't expect to get 49.05 exactly.
Targets:
If you were using these numbers to identify a target on
a short position you would use a number near support, or near 48.65, but not
necessarily 48.65 on the dot. 48.7 would be logical.
On the other hand if you were using these numbers to
identify a target for a long position you would use a number near resistance
levels, or near 49.05, but not exact. Close to 49 would be logical
Stops:
If you were using these number to identify a stop limit
on a short position you would want to use something just beyond 49.05, the
resistance level. In this case 49.1 would seem logical.
On the other hand if you needed to establish a stop
limit on a long position, it should be placed just beyond support, or just below
48.65. In this example 48.6 would be logical.
Possible Trades:
From this information we can imagine 2 possible trades,
one long, one short. These are:
1. Buy KLAC near 48.65 target near 49 stop
49.6.
2. Short KLAC near 49.05 target near 48.7
stop 49.1.
How to use
the Fibonacci Calculator.
This section references the Fibonacci
Calculator we often use to identify support and resistance levels in conjunction
with the charts. This calculator is free to members of Stock Traders Daily
also. The calculator that we offer is very accurate at predicting support
and resistance levels and everyone should learn how to use it. You can
open it from the Clubsite menu tab and
choosing Fibonacci Calculator from the menu. We also advise that you
review an educational chat that we had recently on Fibonacci Numbers to better
understand them. This archived chat session can be found by clicking
on the archive link at the top of this page, selecting educational chats, and
then selecting the chat titled 'Sup & Res using Fibonacci Numbers.'
Please review the snapshot of our
calculator below and then read the discussion below that.
The Fibonacci calculations are based on the high and the
low of the day in KLAC. Prior to the snapshot of the chart in the section
above the stock had hit more extreme lows and highs. These snapshots were
both taken at the same time. The absolute low of the day was 48.29 and the
absolute high of the day was 50.26. The Fibonacci calculator offers us
a different read on KLAC and it tells us some support and resistance levels that
the charts don't.
Notice the T1, T2, T3 levels offered in the calculator.
The left column represents support levels and the right represents resistance
levels.
This calculator is telling us to expect strong support
near 48.35 and to expect a decline all the way to 47.14 if that breaks.
It is also suggesting that strong resistance exists at
50.13 and that we should expect a surge to 51.28 if that level breaks.
If we chose to use the Fibonacci numbers to trade with
we would be willing to do one of these 4 things:
1. Buy KLAC near 48.35 with a target near
50.1 and a stop under 48.25.
2. Short KLAC near 50.1 target 48.5 stop
50.27.
3. Short KLAC if it breaks 48.25 with a
target of 47.14 and a stop of 48.4
4. Buy KLAC if it breaks 50.27 target
51.28 and a stop of under 50.
Now in this example we are using the same mentality as
we did in the charts by being forgiving in our entry levels, targets, and stops.
In addition though we have extended the stops a little farther to reflect the
absolute highs and lows of the day. In other words, we have support and
resistance levels so close to the low and highs of the day that we might as well
place any stops just below the lows of the day or just above the highs of the
day depending on our trade.
Summary of
what we have discussed thus far.
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