Estimated Duration:
1 Day
Notes: You don't need to know how to read the charts,
you only need to know the basics
Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the art of reading the technical
patterns in stock-related charts to determine future
direction. Technical Analysis is indeed an art. It takes
years of experience to perfect, so don't expect to learn
it overnight, but you should be able to understand how
to use data derrived from technical analysis after reading
this tutorial. In addition, it requires adherence to
a list of guidelines in order to reap the rewards from
the study. In the following lesson you will learn the
basic concepts behind Technical Analysis and you will
also learn how to incorporate the understanding which
you should come away with into our trading strategies.
Technical Analysis has 2 main components that need
to be recognized before any futher discussion is made.
They are:
Support
Resistance
These 2 components are essentially what are derived
from the study of the afforementioned charts. By reading
the detailed charts on the NASDAQ, for example, a studied
technical analyst should be able to determine where
current and future support and resistance levels exist.
With an understanding of current support and resistance
levels, stock market traders should be able to make
accurate trading decisions, which, in turn, should allow
them to recognize profits from their trading practice.
The Goal of Technical Analysis to make it easier
for you to make money.
In doing so, we need to understand a few things:
Technical Analysis is not an exact science.
Buy signals exist at specific times only
Sell signals exist at specific times only.
When no trading signals exist we should not trade.
Because Technical Analysis is not an exact science,
we must always know what to do if a support or a resistance
level breaks. But first, let's understand what to do
when a support or a resistance level is tested:
When a support level is tested we should always assume
that the support level will hold, and we should also
assume that the Market (assuming we're watching the
Market) will increase to the next resistance level thereafter
as well. That means when support levels are tested we
should consider long positions with the understanding
that the Market will rise.
When a resistance level is tested
When a resistance level is tested we should always
assume that the resistance level will hold, and we should
also assume that the Market (assuming we're watching
the market) will decline to the next support level thereafter
as well. That means when resistance levels are tested
we should consider short positions with the understanding
that the Market will decline.
These are the 2 easiest concepts to understand: Buy
at support, target resistance; Short at resistance,
target support.
However, there are 2 other triggers for long and short
positions as follows:
When levels of resistance begin to break higher we
should understand that the Market (assuming we're watching
the Market) could increase from that break of resistance
to the next level of resistance. With this understanding
we should initiate a long position just as resistance
levels break higher with a target of the next level
of resistance. By the way, when resistance levels break
higher, they also become support levels (remember this
when the term 'all inflections' comes up in later studies).
When levels of support begin to break lower we should
understand that the Market (assuming we're watching
the Market) could decline from that break of support
to the next level of support . With this understanding
we should initiate a short position just as support
levels break lower with a target of the next level of
support . By the way, when support levels break lower,
they also become resistance levels (remember this when
the term 'all inflections' comes up in later studies).
Therefore trades are triggered based on support and
resistance levels as follows:
Long triggers occur upon tests of support or upon breaks
above stated resistance levels.
Short Triggers occur upon tests of resistance or upon
breaks below stated support levels.
Now we know when buy and sell triggers are triggered.
But when do we take profits in these positions?
The following rules should be applied to all long and
short positions:
The target for long positions should always be the
next level of resistance above the trading trigger
The target for short positions should always be the
next level of support under the trading trigger
When targets are reached profits should be taken from
the positions in question, without question.
An astute reader of this section will understand
that we may have long and a short position very close
together.
Here's an example: If the NASDAQ had a support level
at 2000 and the Market was trading near 2000, a long
signal would occur. However, if 2000 began to break
slightly, a short position would be triggered. In this
circumstance we may have a long and a short position
at the same time.
This is called balance, as you learned in the previous
section, and it is incorporated into this strategy because
Technical Analysis is not an exact science. It also
requires the incorporation of the 5-point rule, which
you also learned about in the previous section.
In the lessons that follow you will learn exactly how
to use these tools to make money from the technical
analysis, and of course the trading Parameters that
are derived from said technical analysis.
We will always tell you where support levels exist
and where resistance levels exist for Day Trades, Swing
Trades, and Longer Term Trades in advance of every trading
session. We also will give you more than 1 level of
support and resistance so in case initial support or
resistance levels break, clear targets are in place
thereafter.
Here's an example of the format you can expect:
Initial Swing Trading Parameters exist between 1970
- 2015
If 1970 breaks lower expect 1900
If 2015 breaks higher expect 2100
Otherwise expect 1970 - 2015 to hold
Technical Analysis is the basis for our historical
accuracy. The details behind how these data points were
derived do not need to be understood from this tutorial.
What should be grasped is an understanding of how to
use them to make money with our system. You should walk
away from this section knowing what to do when support
levels are tested, what to do if support levels are
broken, what to do when resistance levels are tested,
and what to do when resistance levels are broken. If
you do not know this, please re-read this tutorial until
you understand.
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