Estimated Duration: 1 Day
Notes: You should know how to find
Swing Trades after this lesson. The process of finding
Swing Trades is virtually identical to the process of
finding Day Trades.
Understanding
how to find Swing Trades using our system.
This lesson will help you better understand how to
find Swing Trades after Swing Trading Triggers have
occurred. If you do not already understand when Swing
Trading Triggers occur, please go to the lesson titled
"Finding Swing Trading Triggers" now and re-read
the entire lesson. You should have a basic understanding
of that lesson before you proceed.
Swing Trading Triggers occur at various times. Whenever
a trading trigger occurs, we need to find stocks to
trade. Remember this set of rules from the previous
lesson:
- We first must know when to trade
- We then need to know what to trade
- We then need trading plans for those trades.
- And finally we need to execute our trades.
And remember that....
- We tell you when to trade
- We tell you what to trade
- We give you trading plans for those trades.
- But you need to execute your own trades.
In the last lesson we learned when to trade. Now we'll
learn what to trade, and we'll learn how to find trading
plans.
Let's reference these Parameters for examples in this
lesson:
- Initial Swing Trading Parameters exist between 1900
- 1940
- If 1900 breaks lower expect expect 1800
- If 1940 breaks higher expect 2023
- Otherwise expect 1900 - 1940 to hold
Before you begin looking for specific trading ideas
you need to know a few things:
- Do you want a Swing Trade, a Swing Trading, or a
Long Term Trade?
- Do you want a Long (to buy a stock) or a Short (to
short a stock)?
- Do you want to do this at Support, Resistance, or
All Inflections (both)?
Let's take each of these 1 at a time:
- We should know if we want to Swing Trade, Swing
Trade, or Invest in longer term ideas before we go
into the trading Swing. In addition, we should only
be referencing the Parameters for that Trading Style
to know when to engage said trades. For example, if
we are Swing Trading, we should only look at the Swing
Trading Parameters. This should be somewhat obvious.
For the purposes of this lesson we will reference
Swing Trades.
- We should know if we want to buy or to short the
stock based on the Trading Triggers that occur. We
should always be willing to do either. For example,
because the Triggers tell us to Buy near Support and
Target resistance when Support is tested, if the Market
was testing Support, then we would be looking for
a Long Position. Here are a few key points for long
or short ideas: We only want Long Positions when the
Market tests support, or when it breaks resistance.
We only want short ideas when the market tests resistance
or breaks support.
- When the Market is testing a support level for the
first time, whether it be initial or secondary support,
we want to choose 'near support.' If the Market is
testing a resistance level for the first time, whether
it be initial or secondary resistance, we want to
choose 'near resistance.' At all other times we want
to choose 'all inflections.' Hint: we will only choose
'near support' or 'near resistance' on the first trade
that occurs in a new trading effort. This means that
after we close one trading effort because our target
was reached, for example, and we start a new one,
the 'near support' and 'near resistance' options come
into play again.
When we know this information we can proceed to finding
actual trading ideas.
We find all of our trading ideas through the Focus
List. The Focus List is comprised of companies that
we feel will best react to the Market when the Market
begins to move, up or down. From this list we conduct
a 3-Tier Technical Analysis of each stock in that list
and we use that analysis to determine which stocks are
best correlating with the Market when the market is
offering trading signals. This may seem complicated,
but think of it this way for example: we compare the
technical analysis for the stocks to the technical analysis
of the market to find the stocks which are trading closest
to their support levels when the Market is trading near
its support level.
When a Trading Trigger occurs we need to go to the
Focus List and Filter the List for Trading Ideas. Click
here to view the FOCUS LIST
After filtering that list using the 3 points referenced
above we will find trading ideas.
Let's use an example: We are looking at the Swing Trading
Parameters. The Market is trading near support parameter
(near 1900 from the Parameters above) and a support
trigger occurs (at 1903). This tells us to filter the
Focus List for Long Swing Trades Near Support. Our Trading
Plan should be to buy near 1900, target 1928. When we
do so we get these results:
Long Swing Trading Ideas Near support
- WMT Buy near 47.48, target 48.07, Stop Loss @ 47.23
(Support Plan)
- SPY Buy near 114.45, target 115.07, Stop Loss @
114.2 (Support Plan)
- CVX Buy near 52.71, target 53.20, Stop Loss @ 52.46
(Support Plan)
- BP Buy near 59.80, target 62.94, Stop Loss @ 59.55
(Support Plan)
- JNJ Buy near 67.71, target 69.19, Stop Loss @ 67.46
(Support Plan)
- QCOM Buy near 32.94, target 35.03, Stop Loss @ 32.69
(Support Plan)
- DELL Buy near 35.86, target 36.61, Stop Loss @ 35.61
(Support Plan)
- CSCO Buy near 17.17, target 17.86, Stop Loss @ 16.92
(Support Plan)
The resulting list will be ordered based on which stocks
are trading nearest to their respective support levels
at the time we filter the list (if we filtered for resistance
it would sort the list based on which were trading closest
to their respective resistance levels).
Here are a couple key points:
- The Focus List is dynamic so it matters when you
filter the list.
- ONLY Filter the Focus List when a trading trigger
occurs.
- If you filter the list at another time you will
not achieve Market timing.
Really these are repeats of the same point:
ONLY FILTER THE FOCUS LIST FOR TRADING IDEAS
WHEN A TRADING TRIGGER OCCURS.
This allows you to achieve correlating Market Timing.
Once you have the filtered list, review the first few
stocks on the list to determine which ones look best
to you for trading.
You should have a general idea about the news for the
stocks on this list because they are finite. You can
review the current list by clicking the Focus List link
above. You will also be alerted to any changes in that
list. Simply review the news items for those stocks
every morning and use that information to help you determine
which of the first few stocks on the list look best
to trade. Always start with the first stock and work
your way down.
In our example we should start with WMT. Unless there
was a reason NOT to trade WMT we should choose WMT to
trade. If WMT didn't look good to us, we'd review SPY,
and so on. The review process should be instant because
we should already be familiar with these stocks because
they are part of our finite list.
Let's assume, continuing with this example, that 1900
broke lower. In this case we'd have to find a short
for balance. We'd do so by filtering the Focus List
for Short Swing Trading Ideas near all inflections.
This is what we might get:
Short Swing Trading Ideas Near inflection
- JPM Short near 35.59, target 34.47, Stop Loss @
35.84 (Resistance Plan)
- WMT Short near 47.48, target n/a, Stop Loss @ 47.73
(Support Plan)
- SPY Short near 114.45, target n/a, Stop Loss @ 114.7
(Support Plan)
- RMBS Short near 13.49, target 11.63, Stop Loss @
13.74 (Resistance Plan)
- ATVI Short near 15.31, target 14.24, Stop Loss @
15.56 (Resistance Plan)
- CCMP Short near 28.51, target 15.92, Stop Loss @
28.76 (Resistance Plan)
- VRTS Short near 20.85, target 12.51, Stop Loss @
21.1 (Resistance Plan)
- PG Short near 53.55, target 51.86, Stop Loss @ 53.8
(Resistance Plan)
- MOT Short near 14.85, target 14.34, Stop Loss @
15.1 (Resistance Plan)
Again, we'd look at the first few stocks on the list
to consider a short.
Note the following:
- We cannot choose WMT again because we already have
it as part of the trading group.
- We should look for a stock with a similar price
as WMT if we can because this trade is meant for balance.
- The First stock on the list is JPM. This may be
fine to trade. This assumes that there are no reasons
NOT to short JPM. If there were we'd consider the
next stock.
- When you establish balance try to find stocks which
are similar to the first stock in the trading group.
This does not mean by industry, it is based ONLY on
price or Volatility.
At this point we would have 1 long (WMT) and 1 short
(JPM) and we would implement the 5-point rule.
Let's assume that the Market moved up by 5 points to
1905. This triggers an overweight long position. We
filter the Focus List for Long Swing Trading Ideas near
all inflections and we get:
Long Swing Trading Ideas Near inflection
- JPM Buy near 35.59, target 41.50, Stop Loss @ 35.34
(Resistance Plan)
- WMT Buy near 47.48, target 48.07, Stop Loss @ 47.23
(Support Plan)
- SPY Buy near 114.45, target 115.07, Stop Loss @
114.2 (Support Plan)
- CCMP Buy near 28.51, target 30.63, Stop Loss @ 28.26
(Resistance Plan)
- CVX Buy near 52.71, target 53.20, Stop Loss @ 52.46
(Support Plan)
- RMBS Buy near 13.49, target 21.53, Stop Loss @ 13.24
(Resistance Plan)
- ATVI Buy near 15.31, target 15.79, Stop Loss @ 15.06
(Resistance Plan)
We already have WMT as a Long and JPM as a short, so
we cannot choose either one of those for this trade.
Note: we cannot add to the WMT position. We must use
a different stock.
- We NEVER overweight a trading group using the same
stock.
In this example, we could use SPY so long as there
we no reasons NOT to buy JPM.
Therefore we would be overweight longs (WMT and SPY
long, JPM short).
Our trading plan would be: Buy near support (1900)
target resistance (1970). Our stops will always be .25.
Key Points:
- We always use the trading parameters for buy and
sell triggers and targets. We don't use the targets
for the stocks that are offered in their respective
trading plans.
- We always enter the stocks based on their respective
entry levels in their trading plans.
- We always use the stop losses as offered in the
trading plans for each stock.
Basically we don't pay close attention to the targets
for the stocks in their trading plans because the Market
targets are more important to us The targets for the
stocks offered in the trading plans should be noted
for reference, but they should not influence your decisions
to exit your trades
In our example, if the Market reached our target of
1970, we would close our positions. We would take profits
from our long positions, and if our short did not already
stop, we'd close it too. We'd erase all the stocks from
our trading group and we'd start over.
- Whenever we close a trading group a new trade is
usually triggered.
By taking these steps we can correlate Market Timing
with Timing in individual stocks and this increases
our ability to find profitable trades.
At this time you should have a basic understanding
of how to find stocks to trade using our system.
You should now know:
- When to trade
- How to find What To Trade
- Where to find trading plans.
All you need to do is to execute your trade.
Please review the last 2 lessons if you are unsure
about the above referenced items.
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