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Click here to read January's Marketwatch Column: SHORT TREASURIES Stock Traders Daily

Today's Market Analysis - Prepared the Night Before

 (real time updates are available for members)

Tuesday: 

Our combined analysis tells us to expect the market to begin the day with a bias to increase as it opens on Tuesday, but the early strength will be largely determined by the Market's ability or inability to hold initial support levels first.  The Dow is taking center stage because it is the weakest of the three markets we review, and that could be a red flag.  Specifically, the mid term chart of the Dow is offering red flags, while the S&P and NASDAQ appear more resilient.  Nonetheless, the same basic read stems from each market.  Upside potential still exists, and it can be strong, but two things need to happen before any surge can be realized.  First, initial support needs to hold, and second initial resistance needs to break higher too.  If these combined factors can coordinate, the Market will likely experiences aggressive increases in the days that immediately follow.  However, the opposite can happen if the Market breaks below initial support levels instead.  After all, longer term resistance in the Dow is being tested.  Therefore, treat initial support as inflection, and use it to guide trades on Tuesday as a result.  Specifically, if xxxx holds as support expect a test of xxxx, and if that breaks higher too watch out for aggressive moves higher.  However, if xxxx breaks lower instead expect a pullback to xxxx instead.  In either case, watch support closely.  Interestingly, because the longer term charts suggest that the Dow is merely flirting with resistance it is not an immediate determinate of direction.  It will be after a test has been deemed successful, or broken, but not until then.  For now, on a longer term basis, longer term resistance in the Dow is just being tested, that's all. 

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